Unvarnished analysis and strategic foresight. • 32 articles
Two of the planet's most consequential maritime corridors are under simultaneous, deliberate attack. In the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is squeezing the world's oil artery. In the Black Sea, Ukraine and Russia are each targeting the other's grain trade. Together they mark a new phase in which chokepoint warfare has become the preferred instrument of state coercion.
Ninety miles from Florida, a fuel blockade has brought Cuba's economy to the edge of collapse, a US grand jury has indicted Raul Castro for murder, and Pentagon planners have quietly briefed options including an airborne assault. Whether Washington actually pulls the trigger depends less on Havana than on Trump's bandwidth for a third simultaneous conflict.